Rising gas prices, inflation, and overall higher costs are very real these days and could indicate an upcoming recession according to economic experts. Whether we’re heading into a recession or not, there are multiple things you can already do today to be prepared for one. In this article, we’ll not only give you a better understanding of what a recession, is but we will also show you how to make your own business recession protection plan.
Before you start making your business recession plan ready, you should first understand what a recession is and how it impacts your cash flow. According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) a recession is a: “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months,” which is typically visible in numbers such as the GDP, unemployment rate, or wholesale-retail sales. Although the NBER is not speaking about a specific period of time, when a recession is talked about you may often hear about a decline that lasts for more than two quarters. The NBER is the organization that officially announces recessions, so keep yourself up to date with their announcements.
The truth is that cash flow reduces in a recession, which means that small businesses usually get affected more than medium to large businesses. Small businesses rely on their customers to pay on time, so they falter quickly when this is no longer guaranteed. Since the recession also affects paying customers, they may have difficulties paying on time, and a chain reaction begins. The problem with recession is that it easily becomes a vicious cycle: Cash flow and liquidity get tightened which causes businesses to fire employees, which then results in weakened purchasing power. The good news is that there are measures businesses can take ahead of a recession, and some industries are more recession-resistant than others.
Some industries are independent of economic crises as they cover basic human needs. The first things that may come to your mind are grocery stores and healthcare, since people need these services to survive. There are other industries you may not have been thinking of, though:
When wondering if your business is recession-resistant, ask yourself:
While there is no 100% recession-proof business, some products and services are always in demand. Regardless, businesses facing a recession will need to prepare for a tightened cash flow.
This post originally appeared on Aztec Finacial's blog.